Beck
Soul Suckin' Jerk
- Joined
- Mar 26, 2012
- Messages
- 1,458
- Reaction score
- 155
Re: Lord of the Rings Mafia -- August 2nd -- Day 3 -- To Isengard!
That's understandable. But do you still believe that I have a higher chance of flipping Mafia after GliscorMan, our confirmed innocent, has stated that it's better that we lynch Forgotten? He's even said:
Even if I were to flip Mafia (which I wouldn't, because I am Town), the best course of action that will yield the greatest results is to lynch Forgotten.
EDIT: Players that have yet to claim are voting for me? If that's not enough reason to trust me, then I don't know what is. We're letting players who have feinted claiming bandwagon on my vote count.
[You yourself have done nothing to make me choose Forgotten over you. It's just that I don't think Forgotten trying to frame you is likely at all, and I feel that if they were scum they'd be making a horrible move by trying to get us to lynch you. So for those reasons and others I have already posted, I just can't imagine Forgotten flipping mafia. And it's because I can't see Forgotten flipping mafia whatsoever, it's that 1% that I have to go off of.
The 1% lies in the chance that you are lying, and while I don't think it's likely that you are, I can't rule out the possibility. Of course, I can't rule out the possibility that Forgotten is trying to frame you, but I just can't imagine the mafia doing something that odd, so I personally rank it as >1%.
I hope this makes sense.
So it's more likely that if I were Mafia, that I would claim at the beginning of the Night Phase, completely unprompted? Knowing very well that I would be in question the following Day Phase. I was in no immediate danger, yet I outed myself. I understand that this is a confusing and difficult position, but I promise that I claimed in confidence. I honestly believed that I was the last Miller-like role.
If anyone else was in my shoes, would you have not claimed? Forgotten didn't even bother to claim, knowing very well that if he hadn't, he could have been investigated and had wasted our Cop's time. How is that at all a pro-Town move? It's always best if the Miller claims after Day One, it's absolutely in the Town's best interest.
I believe you, and I honestly do not think that you are mafia. I realize that you claimed for the town's best interest, but the possibility still lies that you could be lying, and to me, that possibility has a higher percentage than Forgotten.
All I am trying to say is that the way my mind works, I see it that you have a better likely hood of flipping mafia than Forgotten.
That's understandable. But do you still believe that I have a higher chance of flipping Mafia after GliscorMan, our confirmed innocent, has stated that it's better that we lynch Forgotten? He's even said:
I believe that the most beneficial course of action, in this case, is to lynch Forgotten. This is by no means a perfect solution, but I believe it to be the one that is most likely to yield a member of the Mafia.
Even if I were to flip Mafia (which I wouldn't, because I am Town), the best course of action that will yield the greatest results is to lynch Forgotten.
EDIT: Players that have yet to claim are voting for me? If that's not enough reason to trust me, then I don't know what is. We're letting players who have feinted claiming bandwagon on my vote count.