It seems unrealistic to me that Iris will lose in the first round, especially if it's against Lance. Iris is meant to be the best Dragon trainer, so why would she lose the first round? It goes against her dream if she's out before Lance. Obviously Ash will go against Alain and Leon will go...
I'm guessing the Masters 8 goes like this:
Round 1:
Ash vs. Cynthia
Alain vs. Diantha
Leon vs. Steven
Iris vs. Lance
Semi finals:
Ash vs. Alain
Iris vs. Leon
Finals:
Ash vs. Leon
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