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If Biden carries Florida in the general, that’s a game changer. Hard to see Trump winning if that happens.
What qualifies as a landslide?Shame there’s no way in hell he actually will win it. Biden winning Florida would indicate a Democratic landslide that is absolutely not going to happen.
This, roughly.What qualifies as a landslide?
I think something like that is plausible. The only state I'd be skeptical of is Ohio, but Biden's been polling well there, too.This, roughly.
It is insanely improbable. Hillary polled well in key states before the election as well, don’t trust polling as far as you can throw it. Biden is an even less inspiring candidate with even more baggage than she had. NAFTA will kill him in Pennsylvania and the industrial Midwest, his support for the Obama admin’s immigration policies will kill him in the Southwest, and not being Donald Trump will kill him in Florida.I think something like that is plausible. The only state I'd be skeptical of is Ohio, but Biden's been polling well there, too.
It is insanely improbable. 1. Hillary polled well in key states before the election as well, don’t trust polling as far as you can throw it. Biden is an even less inspiring candidate with even more baggage than she had. 2. NAFTA will kill him in Pennsylvania and the industrial Midwest, 3. his support for the Obama admin’s immigration policies will kill him in the Southwest, 4. and not being Donald Trump will kill him in Florida.
but running a campaign primarily based on a personality contrast with Trump is what Hillary did, and Hillary lost
The only thing that will give me some hope is if Biden picks a good running mate. A great VP could help Biden, but I just don't know if it will be enough. He has to pick someone that covers his weak points. Someone we'll feel safe under if Biden has to step down.
I have heard him say he was committed to pick a woman for Vice President, and I'm hoping he's smart enough to pick someone who can help get more people on board. Someone who can maybe energize the younger generation more, cause I could see Biden having to step down at some point, if he won. Amy Klobuchar could be a pretty good pick for him. One name that gets thrown a lot also is Stacey Abrams, who I remember was robbed of the Georgia governor's election, and delivered the Democrat's response to one of Trump's State of The Union addresses.he's already pledged to pick a woman VP. nobody knows who that may be yet, but that's the one thing he's indicated.
I'm with you. Whoever wins this election is almost guaranteed to get another Supreme Court pick. Ruth Bader Ginsberg is 87 years old and she has had a few health scares recently. If Trump can win and put in another Kavanaugh, we'll be stuck with a 6-3 conservative majority in the courts for a very long time, and there's no telling what they could do. We could see the end of Roe v. Wade, a huge blow to LGBT rights, and further damage to gun control legislation. The White House isn't the only thing at stake here. I'm hoping in the end, Democrats will band together stronger than ever once most can put aside their differences over candidates and unite to take back the White House and prevent the Supreme Court from shifting even further right. We wouldn't be in this situation if Mitch McConnel didn't screw over Obama on Merrick Garland. I'm seriously worried right now though.I don't know how to feel about anything anymore. I just hope whoever gets the nomination, people will get out and vote no matter what. Trump and his Supreme Court nominations are way too dangerous.
1. As someone who has watched Trump speak at almost all of the daily Coronavirus Task Force briefings, I can say he doesn't scare me at all. Not like it really makes a difference; Hillary destroyed Trump in all the 2016 debates, yet here we are.1. Biden, meanwhile, can barely string together a sentence half the time. His speech has declined considerably since even last year, and he struggled to defend himself against the softball attacks Bernie and others launched at him in the debates. Can you imagine what it's going to be like with him on a stage with Donald Trump? It would be a massacre.
2. I think Biden is uniquely vulnerable, and I do not see a way he can shore up his vulnerabilities in such a way that Trump cannot exploit them.
Support for free trade may be high, but NAFTA, specifically, is a bugaboo, because people know the concrete effects it had on people’s lives. Furthermore, while obviously Trump can’t attack Biden for being “too tough” on immigration, he can paint Biden, rightly, as hypocritical should Biden try to criticize his own border policy. It’s not about plain policy, it’s about narrative, and a Biden candidacy gives Trump unlimited resources with which to control the narrative.2. I’m not buying this. All of Biden’s supposed weaknesses you keep throwing out aren’t really weaknesses. NAFTA? Support for free trade is at an all-time high. The Obama administration’s deportations? Trump’s made demonization of immigrants a centerpiece of his presidency; he's not going to attack Biden for being too tough on immigration (well, he could, but he wouldn't benefit from it). Besides, all observable evidence has shown Biden to be a much stronger candidate than Sanders, who himself has plenty of problems that could easily cripple him against Trump.
1. Nobody's voting as if they actually care about NAFTA, though. As I said earlier, the working class, who were most affected by it, remain a solid Democratic voting bloc overall. It's only white working class voters who have defected. And let's be honest, they're not voting Republican for economic reasons.1. Support for free trade may be high, but NAFTA, specifically, is a bugaboo, because people know the concrete effects it had on people’s lives. 2. Furthermore, while obviously Trump can’t attack Biden for being “too tough” on immigration, he can paint Biden, rightly, as hypocritical should Biden try to criticize his own border policy. 3. It’s not about plain policy, it’s about narrative, and a Biden candidacy gives Trump unlimited resources with which to control the narrative.