Which am I more likely to find?

[Blackjack Gabbiani]

A shiny Spinda or a Spinda with a patch on both eyes?

 

[Zeta]

Problably a Spinda with a spot on both eyes. I was able to find several, although the spots were never exactly centered around the eyes . . .

 

[Blackjack Gabbiani]

Yeah, I'm trying to find one with the spots enclosing the eyeswirls.

 

[Trainer-c]

I'd say the odds are better that you'll find a Spinda with a Patch on both eyes.

I have both a Spinda with a patch on both eyes, and a shiny Spinda.
I caught the Spinda with the patch on each eye first I believe...

 

[Misty]

Shiny Spinda seem to be rather common - I know many people with them, including myself.

 

[bell02+]

lol, I think it'd be funny if you actually caught a shiney spinda with the patches over both eyes. That'd be really lucky, I guess.

 

[Zeta]

Shiny Spinda seem to be rather common - I know many people with them, including myself.

Well, that's problably because Spinda are so overtly common in their area, the odds of finding one of them as your shiny are increased. Not to mention killing Spinda is a popular EV training exercise. ;-p

 

[Zhen Lin]

There is a 1 in 4,294,967,296 probability of finding the exact Spinda you want. Lower expectations slightly, and you could double or quadruple your chance of finding that Spinda.

Shiny Spinda are a lot more common than that.