They're still churning out a weekly TV series with little to no problems so they can definitely do pre-production movie work on movie that'll come out summer 2022.
I'm fairly confident we'll get the usual teaser trailer in December 2021 / early January 2022.
The chances are pretty much close to zero at this point. The COVID-19 situation in Japan has never been worse and so Toho is, understandably, waiting a bit before announcing the next film.
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