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American Politics Thread

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Banjo said:
Ohio, Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Wisconsin, Iowa, and Florida are all extremely doable pickups. If they play their cards right, I'd extend that to Indiana, Missouri, and Kentucky. If this election has proven anything, it's that if you put in the work, you can reap dividends. Georgia and Arizona didn't flip on their own.

I'd say that running Nina Turner in Ohio, John Fetterman in Pennsylvania, and Charles Booker in Kentucky immediately puts those states in striking distance. Fetterman in particular would win in a cakewalk.
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Ohio, North Carolina, Iowa, and Florida are not competitive. Those states are solid Republican.
 
RileyXY1 said:
Midterms usually favor the party not in the White House, and McConnell can blame the lack of progress on the Democrats, which will deliver them the White House in 2024.
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It's too early to predict that Biden will be a one term president. McConnell also blamed everything on Obama and he still won re-election.

We have absolutely no idea how the midterms will look once Trump is out of the White House and blaming establishment Republicans for not supporting his coup.
 
RileyXY1 said:
McConnell wasn't Senate Majority Leader until 2014.
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True, but he publicly proclaimed the moment Obama became president that his main objective is to turn him into a one-term president. The Tea Party then launched and the rest is history. The GOP was absolutely sure that Romney would defeat him.
 
Volphied said:
No, but he publicly proclaimed the moment Obama became president that his main objective is to turn him into a one-term president. The Tea Party then launched and the rest is history.
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Biden may pull a Polk because of his age and voluntarily choose not to run for reelection.
 
Banjo said:
Absolutely not. You just need to run the right candidates and have the right campaign. There is so much evidence of this just in this election.
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2022's Senate map is completely unfriendly to Democrats. They have almost no pickup opportunities. Why can't you accept that these states are unwinnable?
 
The fact Biden says he will be a "transitional president" makes me think he's going in and fixing everything that Trump f***ed up and then do some of the things he wants to do and then step down and let Kamala Harris take the reigns, or run his second campaign as the campaign for Kamala for president.

Also, what I found strange that there seems to be so many Trump backers in the White House right now when a lot of other Republicans have given up and congratulated Biden, leads to think the orange duffel bag has some blackmail or something against them from standing against him outside of the usual suspects cause I doubt the actual politicians in his circle aren't that dumb.

RileyXY1 said:
2022's Senate map is completely unfriendly to Democrats. They have almost no pickup opportunities. Why can't you accept that these states are unwinnable?
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They might seem unwinnable now but things can change, we just had multiple states go Blue this year from usual Red states for the first time ever so that could change come 2022 midterms for those states as well. Not to mention we might get Republicans who favor Democratic ideas and vote with them instead of against them like most do, not all Republicans are Trump The midterms are two years away and we still got a runoff election early January to consider, things can change a lot during that time
 
RileyXY1 said:
2022's Senate map is completely unfriendly to Democrats. They have almost no pickup opportunities. Why can't you accept that these states are unwinnable?
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Because they're fucking not! Jesus Christ, this defeatist shit is exactly why Democrats do end up losing all the goddamn time. You guys won Arizona and Georgia this year, and rebuilt the Blue Wall! This was the direct result of an immense push of activism, mainly from left-wing groups, Native American tribes, and Black activists. Apply that same energy elsewhere, and you can win elsewhere.
 
Banjo said:
Because they're fucking not! Jesus Christ, this defeatist shit is exactly why Democrats do end up losing all the goddamn time. You guys won Arizona and Georgia this year, and rebuilt the Blue Wall! This was the direct result of an immense push of activism, mainly from left-wing groups, Native American tribes, and Black activists. Apply that same energy elsewhere, and you can win elsewhere.
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The odds are stacked against them next year as Midterms almost always favor the party not in the White House, which is the Republicans.
 
Banjo said:
Because they're fucking not! Jesus Christ, this defeatist shit is exactly why Democrats do end up losing all the goddamn time. You guys won Arizona and Georgia this year, and rebuilt the Blue Wall! This was the direct result of an immense push of activism, mainly from left-wing groups, Native American tribes, and Black activists. Apply that same energy elsewhere, and you can win elsewhere.
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Yeah, I mean, Republicans got pounded in 2018, but still managed to net 2 Senate seats. Democrats will have at least 2 pickup chances in states Biden carried. If we’re past COVID with a strong economy in 2022, who really knows what’ll happen.
 
RileyXY1 said:
The odds are stacked against them next year as Midterms almost always favor the party not in the White House, which is the Republicans.
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Except the Republicans will be too busy fending off attacks from Trump who will be blaming them for his loss. There is absolutely a chance that the Trump base, which now makes up the majority of the GOP base, will sit out the midterms in response.
 
RileyXY1 said:
The odds are stacked against them next year as Midterms almost always favor the party not in the White House, which is the Republicans.
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That is not an iron law and you know it. The Republicans gained Senate seats in the 2018, did they not? No seat is unwinnable. You just need a good campaign. In 2022, we will likely be out of the pandemic and into an economic recovery. Those are conditions favorable to the governing party.
 
Banjo said:
That is not an iron law and you know it. The Republicans gained Senate seats in the 2018, did they not? No seat is unwinnable. You just need a good campaign. In 2022, we will likely be out of the pandemic and into an economic recovery. Those are conditions favorable to the governing party.
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Then again, the 2018 map was terrible for Democrats.
 
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